# EU and NATO membership support in Georgia, 2009–2024: what the Caucasus Barometer shows *Produced 2026-09-21 by running Part 2 of `../04-survey-synthesis.md` on `2026-09-21-survey-synthesis-inputs.md`; extended the same day to the 2011 and 2012 EU waves and to the 2009–2017 NATO waves after cross-model tests (`../../tests/`) showed the first gather had stopped early both times. All percentages are CRRC's published weighted figures, rounded to integers.* ## Overview In the 2024 Caucasus Barometer, 48% of adults in Georgia said they fully support the country's membership in the European Union and a further 22% rather support it — a combined 70%, against 10% who rather or fully oppose it and 5% who did not answer. Combined support is 1 percentage point above the first wave with the question (69% in 2011) and 7 points above the previous wave (63% in 2021); it fell to a low of 42% in 2015 and peaked at 73% in 2020. The sharpest divide is by age: 58% of 18–34-year-olds fully support EU membership against 43% of those aged 55 and over. ## Key figures - 2024 distribution (EUSUPP): fully support 48%, rather support 22%, partially 14%, rather not 5%, not at all 5%, DK/RA 5%. - Combined support (rather + fully) by wave: | Wave | Fully | Rather | Partial | Rather not | Not at all | DK/RA | Support sum | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 2011 | 39 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 69 | | 2012 | 38 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 72 | | 2013 | 34 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 65 | | 2015 | 18 | 24 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 42 | | 2017 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 45 | | 2019 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 52 | | 2020 | 41 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 73 | | 2021 | 34 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 63 | | 2024 | 48 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 70 | - Lowest combined support: 2015 (42%); highest: 2020 (73%). "Fully support" reached its highest share in 2024 (48%), 7 points above 2020 and 9 above 2011. - Non-response fell from 15% in 2015 to 5% in 2024. ## Breakdown by age, 2024 | Age group | Not at all | Rather not | Partially | Rather support | Fully support | DK/RA | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 18–34 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 58 | 3 | | 35–54 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 3 | | 55+ | 6 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 43 | 10 | Full support is highest among 18–34-year-olds (58%), 12 points above the 35–54 group (46%) and 15 points above those aged 55+ (43%). Combined support narrows the gap — 74% among 18–34, 72% among 35–54, 66% among 55+ — because older respondents more often choose "rather support". Non-response concentrates in the oldest group (10%, against 3% in the two younger groups); opposition (rather not plus not at all) is 9–10% in every group. ## Comparison: NATO membership | Wave | Fully | Rather | Partial | Rather not | Not at all | DK/RA | Support sum | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 2009 | 29 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 59 | | 2010 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 70 | | 2011 | 38 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 66 | | 2012 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 67 | | 2013 | 29 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 58 | | 2015 | 17 | 21 | 27 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | | 2017 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 41 | | 2019 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 50 | | 2020 | 42 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 71 | | 2021 | 31 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 60 | | 2024 | 37 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 57 | The NATO question runs two waves longer than the EU question (from 2009). The two series move together: both peak in 2010–2012 and again in 2020, both bottom out in 2015 (38% NATO, 42% EU) and recover from 2017. Combined support for NATO membership (57% in 2024) runs 13 points below EU membership in the same wave and, unlike the EU series, fell between 2021 and 2024 (60% to 57%), while outright opposition (rather not plus not at all) rose from 10% to 16%; "fully support" nevertheless rose in both series. Over the whole run, NATO support has been below EU support in every wave since 2011 except 2012 (67% against 72%; in 2015 the gap was 4 points, in 2024 it is 13). ## Methodology Caucasus Barometer 2024 Georgia: 1,509 face-to-face CAPI interviews, 16 April – 13 May 2024, adult (18+) population excluding Abkhazia and South Ossetia; multi-stage stratified cluster sample with electoral precincts as primary sampling units (capital / other urban / rural strata, PPS selection, random-walk household selection, Kish-grid respondent selection); interviews in Georgian (89.8%), Azerbaijani (8.7%) and Armenian (1.5%); minimum response rate (AAPOR RR1) 23%; weights adjust for selection probability and non-response and post-stratify by gender, age and geography to the 2014 census. The methodological report states no margin of error; differences of 1–2 points are within rounding. Earlier waves were fielded in the year of the dataset name. Question wording changed: "Please tell me to what extent would you support Georgia's membership in the European Union?" (2011–2012), "To what extent would you support Georgia's membership in the EU?" (2013 and 2015), the explicit 1–5 scale text in 2017, 2019, 2021 and 2024, and in 2020 a read-out variant ("Would you fully support, support, partially support, partially not support, not support, or not support at all…"); answer labels also changed (middle category "Equally support and don't support" in 2011–2015, "Partially support, partially don't support" from 2017; DK and RA reported jointly in 2012, 2013, 2017 and 2024, separately otherwise). All figures are CRRC's published weighted percentages. ## Sources - The Caucasus Research Resource Centers. (2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2024) "Caucasus Barometer", Georgia — variable EUSUPP; (2009–2024, same waves plus 2009 and 2010) — variable NATOSUPP; (2024) AGEGROUP. Retrieved from https://caucasusbarometer.org/en/cb2024ge/EUSUPP/ (and the corresponding `cbge` pages, and `/en/cb2024ge/EUSUPP-by-AGEGROUP/`) on 21 September 2026. - CRRC-Georgia, "Caucasus Barometer 2024 Georgia — Methodological Report", June 2024 — https://caucasusbarometer.org/en/cb2024ge/downloads/ --- ### How this compares with GORBI's notes GORBI's published notes on this genre (e.g. "Favorability of World Leaders", "Child Gender Preference in Georgia") use the same public survey sources with an extra analytical layer — multi-wave regressions and cross-country panels from Gallup International. This note stops at distributions and one cross-tab, which is what the site delivers without touching microdata; the STATA/SPSS files on the downloads page are the route to the regression layer.